Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 22.013477 24.952010 28.158842 31.921810 36.221015 40.984996 46.671634
2025-02-02 18.053985 22.128018 26.952445 33.102585 40.757348 50.000958 62.055019
2025-02-09 15.000727 19.607242 25.443005 33.414456 44.076530 57.924535 77.402903
2025-02-16 12.452233 17.176699 23.510968 32.684479 45.730732 63.768809 90.859381
2025-02-23 10.607886 15.328968 21.977148 32.108819 47.314133 69.529808 104.895686
2025-03-02 9.224209 13.887818 20.746625 31.684506 48.909270 75.356053 119.738172
2025-03-09 8.219259 12.842572 19.915195 31.670166 51.015733 82.106628 136.893342
2025-03-16 7.373303 11.916027 19.119230 31.553095 52.862206 88.584221 154.452567
2025-03-23 6.913594 11.538470 19.127833 32.713201 56.923431 99.200761 180.675751
2025-03-30 6.337039 10.889490 18.596574 32.858043 59.199451 106.959623 202.836290
2025-04-06 5.694744 10.048798 17.632211 32.096767 59.704908 111.523337 219.549089
2025-04-13 5.176725 9.366824 16.863639 31.581309 60.566448 116.801190 238.368361
2025-04-20 4.916142 9.138000 16.913161 32.659368 64.739270 129.257192 274.365514
2025-04-27 4.728936 9.026438 17.170163 34.179191 70.020449 144.738857 319.601605
2025-05-04 4.432924 8.671362 16.918169 34.642643 73.183438 156.272888 358.119883
2025-05-11 4.044788 8.090619 16.154582 33.945881 73.763394 162.300027 384.929682
2025-05-18 3.712329 7.586648 15.490017 33.373735 74.531789 168.840415 414.104432
2025-05-25 3.428458 7.153165 14.923721 32.943631 75.557144 176.104923 446.360975
2025-06-01 3.209384 6.834081 14.565185 32.934005 77.558983 185.968274 487.110519
2025-06-08 3.002059 6.518755 14.180440 32.814350 79.275519 195.375306 528.362714
2025-06-15 2.912725 6.455811 14.349153 34.024732 84.449581 214.279191 599.537119
2025-06-22 2.754016 6.218764 14.095783 34.176220 86.947632 226.596598 654.181037
2025-06-29 2.546497 5.847885 13.492778 33.382826 86.863419 231.978085 689.239277